Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Heck's Preview - Third Basemen


Heck’s completely scientific season preview/analysis by position


Is that the second place team over there?  I can't see that far...

THIRD BASEMEN

Apologies for the delay.  Sometimes life gets in the way of Fantasy Baseball.  Pisses me off.  Now that Opening Day is behind us, I’ll try to speed through the rest of the positions…


#1 – DADDY’S LITTLE BOYS – Miguel Cabrera, DET – 100 POINTS
As third basemen go, there’s reigning MVP and Triple Crown winner Cabrera, and then there’s everyone else.  No other position has such a dropoff from #1 to #2, as you’re about to see…
CBS
691
RotoChamp
648
Steamer
645
Bill James
675
Oliver
607
ZIPS
615
AVERAGE
646.8

#2 – ELEPHANT BALLS – David Wright, NYM – 82.45 POINTS
Egads!  A 113 point difference in projections from Cabrera to Wright.  Fascinating!  Anyway, David is tasked with being “The Man” on the Mets this year.  Actually, he’s pretty much “The ONLY Man”.  We’ll see if that might impact his numbers by the end of the year…
CBS
575
RotoChamp
531
Steamer
517
Bill James
585
Oliver
491
ZIPS
501
AVERAGE
533.3

#3 – T-BAGGERS – Evan Longoria, TAM – 80.68 POINTS
Longo gets dinged by the computers for durability issues, but many are predicting a major breakout year for the Tampa stud.  Also has one of the hottest WAGs in the MLB (Jamie Edmondson) so that should count for something…
CBS
577
RotoChamp
563
Steamer
503
Bill James
591
Oliver
441
ZIPS
456
AVERAGE
521.8

#4 – JACKRABBITS – Chase Headley, SDG – 77.30 POINTS
The projections believe in Chase’s breakout 2012 campaign, but…whoops.  Headley’s out for the first 4 weeks or so with a thumb.  Won’t be until May that we see if Chase is the real deal for 2013…
CBS
493
RotoChamp
500
Steamer
490
Bill James
552
Oliver
482
ZIPS
483
AVERAGE
500

#5 – MATTROSTARS – Adrian Beltre, TEX – 75.75 POINTS
Beltre turns 34 on Sunday, but his past 3 years have been among the 4 best seasons of his career.  The projections only see a small dropoff for the Rangers’ third sacker…
CBS
532
RotoChamp
500
Steamer
439
Bill James
520
Oliver
481
ZIPS
468
AVERAGE
490

#6 – LIMERICK LYNCHMOB – Ryan Zimmerman, WAS – 75.03 POINTS
Another guy with durability issues, Zimmerman (when healthy) has been the foundation upon which the Nationals have been built.  Now he can blend in with a balanced lineup and drive in runs with impunity…
CBS
540
RotoChamp
460
Steamer
429
Bill James
544
Oliver
449
ZIPS
490
AVERAGE
485.3

#7 – ISOTOPES – Aramis Ramirez, MIL – 73.07 POINTS
My least favorite of the Three Musketeers, Aramis had the best season of his career (5.8 fWAR) in 2012, his first with the Brewers.  He turns 35 this season…how much does he have left in the tank?
CBS
523
RotoChamp
498
Steamer
411
Bill James
521
Oliver
435
ZIPS
448
AVERAGE
472.7

#8 – BASHFUL SATANISTS – Martin Prado, ARI – 71.50 POINTS
Prado does a lot of the little things that help his real life baseball teams win games.  He doesn’t do a whole hell of lot to help my fantasy team win games, but he rarely puts up a terrible week either…
CBS
498
RotoChamp
459
Steamer
471
Bill James
446
Oliver
432
ZIPS
469
AVERAGE
462.5

#9 – THE H TREE – Brett Lawrie, TOR – 70.55 POINTS
After a lot of hype before the 2012 season, Lawrie had a pretty mediocre year (feels like I said the same thing about the H Tree’s first baseman already…).  The computers believe he’ll bounce back and go on to a solid major league career…
CBS
462
RotoChamp
476
Steamer
408
Bill James
524
Oliver
423
ZIPS
445
AVERAGE
456.3

#10 – BROOKLYN BLUNTED B – Pablo Sandoval, SFO – 70.52 POINTS
Kung Fu Panda had a mediocre 2012, his second consecutive season of fewer than 120 games played.  When you’re 5’11”, 240 pounds (maybe!), these things will happen.  Somebody get this boy some tofu!
CBS
463
RotoChamp
475
Steamer
447
Bill James
493
Oliver
440
ZIPS
419
AVERAGE
456.2

#11 – ROCKBUSTERS – Kyle Seager, SEA – 69.05 POINTS
Seager’s sneaky good season was helped by the fact that he made 651 trips to the plate.  This is an accomplishment in itself, but an OPS of .739 isn’t going to lead to many more 650 PA seasons if there are other viable alternatives in the Seattle system…
CBS
454
RotoChamp
457
Steamer
424
Bill James
450
Oliver
437
ZIPS
458
AVERAGE
446.7

#12 – NORRIS SLUM LORDS – Michael Young, PHI – 64.70 POINTS
Young held off Kevin Youkilis according to the projections because, let’s face it – without the facial hair, Youk is doomed.  Young is looking to shake off his career worst 2012 campaign and help the aging Phillies make one more run…
CBS
439
RotoChamp
426
Steamer
385
Bill James
451
Oliver
404
ZIPS
406
AVERAGE
418.5

#13 – HELLS KITCHEN HERZOGS – Will Middlebrooks, BOS – 64.29 POINTS
Middlebrooks, Boston’s third baseman of the future, slugged a lusty .509 in 75 games last year, with 15 bombs after never hitting more than 20 homers in a full season in the minors before.  The computers say “Do it again, rook.”
CBS
462
RotoChamp
453
Steamer
371
Bill James
483
Oliver
366
ZIPS
360
AVERAGE
415.8

#14 – SNAPDRAGONS – Manny Machado, BAL – 60.11 POINTS
Machado, one of the top rated prospects in baseball prior to last season, made the jump from AA ball and held his own for 51 games, posting a .739 OPS.  The computers are bullish on his future, but at only 20 years old, big production will most likely be a couple more years down the road…
CBS
408
RotoChamp
395
Steamer
344
Bill James
431
Oliver
322
ZIPS
433
AVERAGE
388.8

RANKINGS AFTER 5 POSITIONS:
C
1B
2B
SS
3B
TOTAL
Daddy's Little Boys
75.33
100
92.34
92.27
100
459.933
Elephant Balls
81.79
88.18
94.73
79.11
82.45
426.258
Isotopes
100
74.74
80.74
96.28
73.07
424.823
MattroStars
89.19
84.33
86.22
89.06
75.75
424.539
Norris Slum Lords
81.49
98.41
90.6
83.73
64.7
418.929
Hells Kitchen Herzogs
73.96
90.46
100
88.7
64.29
417.41
Bashful Satanists
98.36
72.87
71.55
91.05
71.5
405.319
Jackrabbits
55.1
89.35
82.3
100
77.3
404.044
T-Baggers
87.23
77.05
82.65
71.85
80.68
399.465
Limerick Lynchmob
65.98
98.13
82.89
75.51
75.03
397.546
Rox
79.33
62.69
84.18
91.88
69.05
387.135
Brooklyn Blunted B
68.38
86.11
82.68
77.47
70.52
385.165
Snapdragons
72.31
77.05
80.68
91.08
60.11
381.232
The H Tree
58.69
80.31
68.92
84.21
70.55
362.689

Tomorrow – OF1

No comments: