Heck’s completely scientific season preview/analysis by position
SHORTSTOPS
#1 – JACKRABBITS –
Jose Reyes, TOR – 100 POINTS
Will be interesting to see how the move to the AL will
impact Jose after spending his entire career to date in the NL East. The computer models seem to think he’ll do
just fine, as you see here…
|
CBS
|
566
|
|
RotoChamp
|
509
|
|
Steamer
|
517
|
|
Bill James
|
539
|
|
Oliver
|
491
|
|
ZIPS
|
494
|
|
AVERAGE
|
519.3
|
#2 – ISOTOPES –
Starlin Castro, CHC – 96.28 POINTS
Pretty much everyone on this list has some warts. Some bigger than others. Castro just turned 23 on Sunday, so perhaps
the projections see room for improvement, but an OPS of .753 in your 3rd
year as a major leaguer isn’t exactly cause for celebration…
|
CBS
|
526
|
|
RotoChamp
|
471
|
|
Steamer
|
488
|
|
Bill James
|
512
|
|
Oliver
|
484
|
|
ZIPS
|
519
|
|
AVERAGE
|
500
|
#3 – DADDY’S LITTLE
BOYS – Troy Tulowitzki, COL – 92.57 POINTS
And here we have the old durability problem again. On a per at-bat basis, Tulo is easily the
high man on this list. But the computers
can’t give him credit for staying healthy…can you blame them?
|
CBS
|
581
|
|
RotoChamp
|
508
|
|
Steamer
|
441
|
|
Bill James
|
554
|
|
Oliver
|
374
|
|
ZIPS
|
417
|
|
AVERAGE
|
479.2
|
#4 – ROCKBUSTERS –
Elvis Andrus, TEX – 91.88 POINTS
And now Elvis Andrus, who has actually never had a wRC+ of
100 or better (meaning he’s never been league average or above in weighted runs
created)…and he’s ranked #4 on the list???
Man, the SS position isn’t what it once was…
|
CBS
|
498
|
|
RotoChamp
|
492
|
|
Steamer
|
472
|
|
Bill James
|
482
|
|
Oliver
|
456
|
|
ZIPS
|
463
|
|
AVERAGE
|
477.2
|
#5 – SNAPDRAGONS –
Hanley Ramirez, LAD – 91.08 POINTS
What to expect of Hanley this year? The one-time #1 overall value in fantasy has
barely been above league average for the past two campaigns, and now he’s going
to miss 6-8 weeks with a thumb. The
projections (all but CBS, it appears) were made before that happened, so he
lands here…
|
CBS
|
384
|
|
RotoChamp
|
516
|
|
Steamer
|
463
|
|
Bill James
|
521
|
|
Oliver
|
461
|
|
ZIPS
|
493
|
|
AVERAGE
|
473
|
#6 – BASHFUL
SATANISTS – Jimmy Rollins, PHI – 91.05 POINTS
The Satanists’ #1 pick in the expansion draft is still going
strong, though not quite producing the MVP numbers of 6 years ago. Jimmy had a strong 2012 season, but the
projections don’t see him maintaining that level of play in his age 34 year…
|
CBS
|
506
|
|
RotoChamp
|
506
|
|
Steamer
|
455
|
|
Bill James
|
494
|
|
Oliver
|
418
|
|
ZIPS
|
458
|
|
AVERAGE
|
472.8
|
#7 – MATTROSTARS - Asdrubal
Cabrera, CLE – 89.06 POINTS
Did you know that this is the only player named Asdrubal in
MLB history? Hard to believe, Harry…
|
CBS
|
493
|
|
RotoChamp
|
476
|
|
Steamer
|
429
|
|
Bill James
|
476
|
|
Oliver
|
439
|
|
ZIPS
|
462
|
|
AVERAGE
|
462.5
|
#8 – HELLS KITCHEN
HERZOGS – Ian Desmond, WAS – 88.70 POINTS
Ian Desmond has two first names. I don’t trust anyone with two first
names. Thus, I sure don’t trust the idea
that Desmond is going to hit 25 bombs again in 2013 after having 22 in his 2+
season career previously…
|
CBS
|
514
|
|
RotoChamp
|
470
|
|
Steamer
|
431
|
|
Bill James
|
462
|
|
Oliver
|
432
|
|
ZIPS
|
455
|
|
AVERAGE
|
460.7
|
#9 – THE H TREE – Danny
Espinosa, WAS – 84.21 POINTS
Whoooooosh! Did you
feel that? Yep, Danny Espinosa just
struck out again. 28.7% of Espinosa’s
plate appearances ended in a strikeout last year. Egads!
Almost makes Ryan Howard look like a contact hitter. Almost…
|
CBS
|
465
|
|
RotoChamp
|
388
|
|
Steamer
|
382
|
|
Bill James
|
467
|
|
Oliver
|
465
|
|
ZIPS
|
457
|
|
AVERAGE
|
437.3
|
#10 – NORRIS SLUM
LORDS – Josh Rutledge, COL – 83.73 POINTS
Expectations for Rutledge appear to be all over the
map. I’ve seen predictions of his
demotion within 2 months, and I’ve seen predictions that he’ll be a top 10 SS
this year. Who the F knows, honestly?
|
CBS
|
455
|
|
RotoChamp
|
442
|
|
Steamer
|
420
|
|
Bill James
|
431
|
|
Oliver
|
375
|
|
ZIPS
|
486
|
|
AVERAGE
|
434.8
|
#11 – ELEPHANT BALLS –
Derek Jeter, NYY – 79.11 POINTS
Oh captain my captain!!!
Jeter still hasn’t fully recovered from the brutal broken ankle he
suffered in last year’s playoffs, and he’s old.
He’s defied the critics for the past few years, but can he get up off
the mat one last time?
|
CBS
|
455
|
|
RotoChamp
|
384
|
|
Steamer
|
367
|
|
Bill James
|
490
|
|
Oliver
|
402
|
|
ZIPS
|
367
|
|
AVERAGE
|
410.8
|
#12 – BROOKLYN BLUNTED
B – J.J. Hardy, BAL – 77.47 POINTS
The Blunted have good depth in mediocre shortstops, owning
both JJ Hardy and Erick Aybar. Sounds
like another chance at platoon mismanagement for Sal’s crew!
|
CBS
|
445
|
|
RotoChamp
|
392
|
|
Steamer
|
374
|
|
Bill James
|
432
|
|
Oliver
|
371
|
|
ZIPS
|
400
|
|
AVERAGE
|
402.3
|
#13 – LIMERICK LYNCHMOB
– Marco Scutaro, SF – 75.51 POINTS
Ah, Marco. Playoff
hero and WBC participant for the upstart Eye-talian team, the computers don’t
think much of his chances to live up to the 3 year, $20MM contract he signed in
the offseason. Gotta love the Giants,
making sure they keep the band together…
|
CBS
|
453
|
|
RotoChamp
|
409
|
|
Steamer
|
388
|
|
Bill James
|
428
|
|
Oliver
|
357
|
|
ZIPS
|
318
|
|
AVERAGE
|
392.2
|
#14 – T-BAGGERS – Andrelton
Simmons, ATL – 71.85 POINTS
Known as a defensive wiz (possibly the best in the game), Simmons
had a surprisingly effective rookie season at the plate. The computers are not fully buying in yet –
we’ll see what Simmons can do to change their minds in 2013…
|
CBS
|
394
|
|
RotoChamp
|
420
|
|
Steamer
|
363
|
|
Bill James
|
429
|
|
Oliver
|
300
|
|
ZIPS
|
333
|
|
AVERAGE
|
373.2
|
RANKINGS AFTER 4
POSITIONS:
|
C
|
1B
|
2B
|
SS
|
3B
|
TOTAL
|
|
|
Daddy's Little Boys
|
75.33
|
100
|
92.34
|
92.27
|
359.933
|
|
|
Norris Slum Lords
|
81.49
|
98.41
|
90.6
|
83.73
|
354.229
|
|
|
Hells Kitchen Herzogs
|
73.96
|
90.46
|
100
|
88.7
|
353.123
|
|
|
Isotopes
|
100
|
74.74
|
80.74
|
96.28
|
351.749
|
|
|
MattroStars
|
89.19
|
84.33
|
86.22
|
89.06
|
348.785
|
|
|
Elephant Balls
|
81.79
|
88.18
|
94.73
|
79.11
|
343.805
|
|
|
Bashful Satanists
|
98.36
|
72.87
|
71.55
|
91.05
|
333.817
|
|
|
Jackrabbits
|
55.1
|
89.35
|
82.3
|
100
|
326.744
|
|
|
Limerick Lynchmob
|
65.98
|
98.13
|
82.89
|
75.51
|
322.514
|
|
|
Snapdragons
|
72.31
|
77.05
|
80.68
|
91.08
|
321.119
|
|
|
T-Baggers
|
87.23
|
77.05
|
82.65
|
71.85
|
318.79
|
|
|
Rox
|
79.33
|
62.69
|
84.18
|
91.88
|
318.081
|
|
|
Brooklyn Blunted B
|
68.38
|
86.11
|
82.68
|
77.47
|
314.642
|
|
|
The H Tree
|
58.69
|
80.31
|
68.92
|
84.21
|
292.14
|
Tomorrow – I Don’t Know…Third Base!
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